Friday, October 17, 2008

Left Coast(ing)

Our recent heat wave isn't just weather-related... today SurveyUSA has a California poll out:

Obama 59%
McCain 35%

Which isn't the biggest news in the world, obviously. However, the 24 point margin does strongly suggest --if the number holds, which I suspect it just might-- that Obama will have some significant Golden State help in keeping the national popular vote total close enough to hopefully prevent a "Bush 2000" scenario of an Electoral Vote win but popular vote loss.

Keep in mind that in 2004, John Kerry won California by only 10 points, 54% to Bush's 44%. And in 2000, Al Gore didn't fare much better margin wise, beating Bush by 11 points, 53% to 42%.

Something to keep in mind: 60% in California is a huge number... even for a Democrat.

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