Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Darn That Creeping Socialism

Various reports from CNN's John King, ABC's George Stephanopulous and others indicate that John McCain's campaign is decreasing its efforts in the following states:

Colorado (9 electoral votes), Wisconsin (10), New Hampshire (4), Iowa (7) and New Mexico (5)

The margins in these states vary, but Obama has held consistent leads in them for weeks.

The total electoral vote count for these 5 states is 35 votes. Of the 5, Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado went for Bush in 2004. So, if you add these 35 votes and Pennsylvania to Obama's base of strong blue states, Obama wins the Presidency (and this is even without Obama winning in Ohio, Missouri, Nevada, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida--remarkable).

Look for abject denials of McCain abandonment from low level state officials, and even from the campaign itself. But watch the ad money in these states, as well as candidate visits to see the truth. Even the McCain campaign admits that it is not spending any additional money in Wisconsin and New Hampshire, and will simply spread the money already allocated into a few more days of ads.

The reality on the ground, as early voting begins in many states, is that McCain is running out of options.

No comments: